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future_fabulators:scenario_building [2014-03-04 05:01] – [Future Histories] maja | future_fabulators:scenario_building [2014-03-04 05:04] – [Scenario Building] maja |
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==== Scenario Building ==== | ==== Scenario Building ==== |
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This page is a collection of quotes and references on which we build to develop [[scenarios]] with Future Fabulators. If you are interested in how to build scenarios, look at [[scenario_methods]]. | This page is a collection of quotes and references that inspire our development of [[scenarios]] with Future Fabulators. If you are interested in how to build scenarios yourself, read through our evolving collection of [[scenario_methods]]. |
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<blockquote>Thinking through [scenario] stories, and talking in depth about their implications, brings each person’s unspoken assumptions about the future to the surface. Scenarios are thus the most powerful vehicles I know for challenging our ‘mental models’ about the world and lifting the ‘blinders’ that limit our creativity and resourcefulness.”</blockquote> | <blockquote>Thinking through [scenario] stories, and talking in depth about their implications, brings each person’s unspoken assumptions about the future to the surface. Scenarios are thus the most powerful vehicles I know for challenging our ‘mental models’ about the world and lifting the ‘blinders’ that limit our creativity and resourcefulness.”</blockquote> |
Peter Schwartz, The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World | From: Peter Schwartz, The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World |
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<blockquote>... scenario writing (...) is fundamentally an act of evidence-based imagination" -Geoffrey Coyle </blockquote> | <blockquote>... scenario writing (...) is fundamentally an act of evidence-based imagination" -Geoffrey Coyle </blockquote> |
<blockquote>A good scenario grabs us by the collar and says, "Take a good look at this future. This could be your future. Are you going to be ready?"</blockquote> | <blockquote>A good scenario grabs us by the collar and says, "Take a good look at this future. This could be your future. Are you going to be ready?"</blockquote> |
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From: [[http://www.universitiesuk.ac.uk/aboutus/whatwedo/PolicyAnalysis/UKHigherEducation/Futures/Documents/current_state_of_scenario_development_FORESIGHT.pdf|the current state of scenario development]] | From: [[http://www.universitiesuk.ac.uk/aboutus/whatwedo/PolicyAnalysis/UKHigherEducation/Futures/Documents/current_state_of_scenario_development_FORESIGHT.pdf|the current state of scenario development]] by Peter Bishop, Andy Hines and Terry Collins |
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==== Scenarios as disruptions ==== | ==== Scenarios as disruptions ==== |